The 1971 Indo-Pakistani War nearly drew in both the United States and China in that conflict, both would have intervened on the Pakistani side. Conversely, China has intensified the relationship with one of its only client states. The United States has grown closer to India over the past few years, even as it continues to send weapons and cash to Pakistan. But if Pakistan suffered a serious conventional defeat, the use of tactical nuclear weapons might seem like the only way out. Either state could engage in some adventurism in Afghanistan, perhaps in response to the activity of non-state actors.ĭebate over the conventional balance along the border between India and Pakistan has raged for years. If a Pakistani-sponsored terrorist group makes another attack similar to that in Mumbai, India’s patience could wear very thin. India and Pakistan could go to war again for any number of reasons. Serious fighting between external powers in Syria could quickly draw in Turkey, Iran, and Saudi Arabia, and potentially spread to other parts of the globe.
If any of the three decide to intervene in favor of their preferred factions, the situation could very quickly come to resemble a game of chicken, with airstrikes, no fly zones, and secure enclaves providing the points of conflict. This could get ugly, as France, Russia, and the United States have very different views about how the future of Syria should look. ( Recommended: Is a U.S.-China War Possible?)Įven if the emerging anti-ISIS coalition prevails, conflict between major power could ensue. On the other, a dramatic shift on the ground in Syria could force the hand of one of the supporters of the proxy combatants.
On the one hand, an accidental confrontation between NATO and Russia aircraft could lead to bad tactical decisions, with one or more planes shot out of the air. But the explosion of attention (not to mention air traffic) could complicate the next step in the war. At the moment, ISIS has drawn the attention of most of the world’s most powerful countries, including France, the United States, and Russia.
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